Isle of Man: Decisive round on Monday!
Last Grasp for Stardom
It has been an exciting tournament for the tens of thousands of online spectators who have been following the action these past 10 days or so, but tomorrow things will finally come to a climax as the 11th and decisive round is played.
At stake is not just almost a half million euros in cash prizes, but some lucky player will also qualify directly for next year’s prestigious Candidates Tournament.
Standings After 10 Rounds
Some Observations about Rating Rankings
The ELO may be considered the ‘God’ of predictable chess rankings, but it is worthwhile noting that after 10 rounds the ELO system has not proven itself very reliable:
- Of the top-10 places going into the final round, only 3 of the top-10 highest rated players can be found (Caruana, Carlsen and Aronian)
- Of the next 10 places, only 2 of the top-20 highest rated players can be found
- Of the next 10 places after that, 8 of the top-30 rated players can be found
In other words, of the top-30 players ranked after 10 rounds of play, less than 2/3 were predicted by ELO. Food for thought…
Chess.Com predicts that Chinese star Wang Hao is the favourite to qualify tomorrow for the sole Candidate’s spot up for grabs.
This is because both Caruana and Carlsen do not need to qualify (for obvious reasons). The other players with a mathematical chance are Kirill Alekseenko, Levon Aronian, Nikita Vitiugov, Hikaru Nakamura and David Howell.
The Spanish star David Anton, who had been leading the tournament for 2 rounds at some point, lost a heartbreaking game to Caruana in round 10.
Apparently this knocked Anton out of contention for the Candidate’s honour, according to Chess.Com.